Business Cycles: History, Theory and Investment Reality, 3rd Edition商业周期：历史、理论与投资实体 下载 pdf 百度网盘 epub 免费 2025 电子版 mobi 在线

This entertaining book describes the global history of economic fluctuations and business cycle theory over more than 300 years. It explains the core of the problem and shows how cycles can be forecast and how they are managed by central banks. The book concludes with detailed studies of how sub-sectors of stocks, bonds, hedge funds, private equity funds, gold, exchange rates, real estate, commodities, art and collectibles fluctuate over different categories of business cycles.

List of Figures and Tables

Preface

Part Ⅰ: The First Economists

　1 Gambling Man

　2 Cash Payment

　3 The Dream Team of Money

　4 The Napoleon of Finance

　5 Jay and Phantom Gold

　6 Seven Pioneers

Part Ⅱ: The First Business Cycle Theories

　7 The Golden Age

　8 The Archeologists

　9 Fisher and Babson

　10 Keynes and the Austrians

　11 The Great Depression

　12 Lover, Horseman, Economist

　13 The Problem with Money

Part Ⅲ: A Hidden World

　14 The Simulators

　15 Brains of Steel

　16 Fat Tails and All That

　17 Monkey See, Monkey Do

　18 Dot Bomb

Part Ⅳ: The Essence

　19 The State of the Art

　20 Two Questions

　21 The Five Main Drivers of Cycles

　22 The Ten Challenges of Central Banking

Part Ⅴ: Business Cycles and Asset Prices

　23 The Mother of All Cycles: Property

　24 When Art was In

　25 All That Glitters

　26 What Things are Made of: Commodities

　27 Bonds, Stocks and Funds

　28 The World’s Biggest Market: Foreign Exchange

　29 Business Cycles and Market Rotation

Afterword: The Beat of the Heart

Appendix 1: List of Important Events in Business Cycle Theory

Appendix 2: List of the Largest Financial Crises in History

Chapter Notes

Bibliography

Index

Lars Tvede, a Danish national, holds a master’s degree in Engineering and a Bachelor’s degree in international commerce. He spent 11 years as derivatives trader, portfolio manager and investment banker before moving to the telecommunication and software

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